Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1057.557078 1197.418438 1353.705346 1542.197431 1764.565573 2020.020253 2337.805044
2025-05-18 869.978187 1060.014192 1293.111555 1604.019269 2013.905593 2544.556816 3298.235988
2025-05-25 759.751481 968.264692 1239.305218 1625.008022 2172.543974 2942.483531 4146.018060
2025-06-01 672.775277 887.704701 1180.039685 1618.140903 2278.918776 3275.136226 4968.197053
2025-06-08 605.633465 822.293910 1128.300118 1607.437232 2368.994079 3590.248509 5830.520399
2025-06-15 563.915603 786.113730 1111.134024 1641.574442 2528.336350 4039.535607 7035.072739
2025-06-22 508.467741 723.061659 1045.428512 1588.608289 2533.300571 4223.395353 7793.571357
2025-06-29 463.684707 671.214669 990.526215 1544.421943 2543.557894 4414.491992 8615.825106
2025-07-06 423.708890 622.899573 935.856924 1492.830671 2530.822786 4556.706934 9371.582584
2025-07-13 409.417122 613.515269 942.640659 1547.602322 2722.919513 5143.508873 11347.569614
2025-07-20 389.858741 593.704959 929.760035 1564.793986 2843.992419 5607.009849 13192.290175
2025-07-27 374.144924 578.766891 923.446743 1592.803335 2990.782848 6160.151232 15507.678101
2025-08-03 356.938875 560.847950 911.831890 1612.557783 3131.436976 6753.748994 18293.222827
2025-08-10 347.200403 555.081690 921.630696 1676.625113 3384.158606 7704.171570 22804.424386
2025-08-17 332.731998 539.641790 911.875275 1698.989155 3544.945428 8461.801423 27145.372268
2025-08-24 315.903398 518.599721 889.518924 1691.705442 3633.141557 9044.536461 31228.579299
2025-08-31 300.144938 498.295392 866.686501 1680.395606 3709.340429 9617.504007 35728.751336
2025-09-07 290.981248 489.443267 865.315609 1716.480036 3915.755725 10669.416744 43465.523521
2025-09-14 272.870977 462.541056 825.730597 1660.496477 3864.249948 10855.645518 46882.807269
2025-09-21 257.170732 439.250571 791.701611 1613.812359 3831.234866 11101.305273 50933.912897
2025-09-28 241.921029 415.932081 755.948211 1559.327741 3767.524170 11222.380130 54408.447388
2025-10-05 238.281886 414.862061 766.182269 1617.171917 4044.013137 12726.414999 69093.353232
2025-10-12 231.250237 406.642992 760.635293 1635.333759 4205.344425 13851.020197 82900.592215